Week 1

Against the spread: 16–26–1 (38.1%).

Backfilled from the original weekly sheets. Market line = early-week median of ~9 books; close = DraftKings via ESPN.

Weeks 0–1 average uses three models (Massey, SP+, Sagarin); Action Network was added in Week 2.

Sagarin ratings for Weeks 0–2 were rebuilt from archived copies of sagarin.com.

Game	Final	Sunday line	Close	Model	Pick · edge	Result	Line value
Arkansas State at Memphis	24–42	Memphis −8.5	Memphis −10.5	Memphis −14.8	Memphis −8.5 6.3	✓ Win	2.0
UMass at Rutgers	37–21	Rutgers −30	Rutgers −29.5	Rutgers −36.2	Rutgers −30 6.2	✕ Loss	−0.5
Ball State at Ohio State	3–56	Ohio State −50.5	Ohio State −50.5	Ohio State −56.5	Ohio State −50.5 6.0	✓ Win	−0.0
Miami at Stanford	45–6	Miami −24.25	Miami −24.5	Miami −20	Stanford +24.25 4.2	✕ Loss	−0.2
Liberty at James Madison	13–20	James Madison −6.5	James Madison −6	James Madison −10.4	James Madison −6.5 3.9	✓ Win	−0.5
Marshall at Penn State	0–45	Penn State −24	Penn State −23.5	Penn State −27.8	Penn State −24 3.8	✓ Win	−0.5
San Jose State at Eastern Michigan	27–21	Eastern Michigan −4.5	Eastern Michigan −1.5	Eastern Michigan −0.7	San Jose State +4.5 3.8	✓ Win	3.0
North Texas at Indiana	16–52	Indiana −40.5	Indiana −39.5	Indiana −37	North Texas +40.5 3.5	✓ Win	1.0
East Carolina at Alabama	10–48	Alabama −28.5	Alabama −28.5	Alabama −25	East Carolina +28.5 3.5	✕ Loss	0.0
Oregon State at Houston	20–33	Houston −20.5	Houston −21	Houston −17	Oregon State +20.5 3.5	✓ Win	−0.5
Toledo at Michigan State	20–30	Michigan State −10	Michigan State −10	Michigan State −13.4	Michigan State −10 3.4	Push	−0.0
Coastal Carolina at West Virginia	24–31	West Virginia −21.5	West Virginia −21	West Virginia −18.1	Coastal Carolina +21.5 3.4	✓ Win	0.5
Northern Illinois at Iowa	0–40	Iowa −31.75	Iowa −31.5	Iowa −34.5	Iowa −31.75 2.8	✓ Win	−0.2
Boise State at Oregon	27–34	Oregon −24.5	Oregon −24.5	Oregon −27.2	Oregon −24.5 2.7	✕ Loss	−0.0
Oklahoma State at Tulsa	10–24	Oklahoma State −14	Oklahoma State −13.5	Oklahoma State −11.4	Tulsa +14 2.6	✓ Win	0.5
FIU at South Florida	9–19	South Florida −13.5	South Florida −14.5	South Florida −16	South Florida −13.5 2.5	✕ Loss	1.0
Louisville at Ole Miss	38–41	Ole Miss −6.5	Ole Miss −6.5	Ole Miss −8.7	Ole Miss −6.5 2.2	✕ Loss	−0.0
Clemson at LSU	10–51	LSU −10.5	LSU −10	LSU −8.5	Clemson +10.5 2.0	✕ Loss	0.5
Baylor at Auburn	16–17	Auburn −7	Auburn −6.5	Auburn −8.9	Auburn −7 1.9	✕ Loss	−0.5
UAB at Illinois	23–42	Illinois −28.5	Illinois −25.5	Illinois −30.4	Illinois −28.5 1.9	✕ Loss	−3.0
UL Monroe at Mississippi State	13–62	Mississippi State −28.5	Mississippi State −28.5	Mississippi State −30.2	Mississippi State −28.5 1.8	✓ Win	−0.0
Colorado at Georgia Tech	14–13	Georgia Tech −6.5	Georgia Tech −6.5	Georgia Tech −8.1	Georgia Tech −6.5 1.6	✕ Loss	−0.0
Wyoming at Colorado State	13–35	Colorado State −3.5	Colorado State −2.5	Colorado State −2	Wyoming +3.5 1.5	✕ Loss	1.0
Akron at Wake Forest	16–38	Wake Forest −23.5	Wake Forest −27.5	Wake Forest −24.9	Wake Forest −23.5 1.4	✕ Loss	4.0
Washington State at Washington	10–24	Washington −22.75	Washington −23.5	Washington −21.4	Washington State +22.75 1.4	✓ Win	−0.8
Western Kentucky at Nevada	14–49	Western Kentucky −2.5	Western Kentucky −1.5	Western Kentucky −3.9	Western Kentucky −2.5 1.4	✕ Loss	−1.0
Fresno State at USC	0–39	USC −23	USC −21.5	USC −24.2	USC −23 1.2	✓ Win	−1.5
Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh	14–59	Pittsburgh −16.5	Pittsburgh −16.5	Pittsburgh −17.4	Pittsburgh −16.5 0.9	✓ Win	−0.0
Western Michigan at Michigan	12–13	Michigan −28	Michigan −27.5	Michigan −28.9	Michigan −28 0.9	✕ Loss	−0.5
Missouri State at Texas A&M	0–50	Texas A&M −40.5	Texas A&M −38.5	Texas A&M −39.6	Missouri State +40.5 0.9	✕ Loss	2.0
Ohio at Nebraska	21–49	Nebraska −23.5	Nebraska −23.5	Nebraska −22.7	Ohio +23.5 0.8	✕ Loss	0.0
UCLA at California	45–24	UCLA −1.5	UCLA −2.5	UCLA −0.8	California +1.5 0.7	✕ Loss	−1.0
Sam Houston at Troy	21–24	Troy −16.5	Troy −15.5	Troy −17.1	Troy −16.5 0.6	✕ Loss	−1.0
UNLV at Hawai’i	21–6	UNLV −3	UNLV −2.5	UNLV −2.6	Hawai’i +3 0.4	✕ Loss	0.5
Wisconsin at Notre Dame	13–41	Notre Dame −20.5	Notre Dame −21	Notre Dame −20.8	Notre Dame −20.5 0.3	✓ Win	0.5
SMU at Florida State	27–24	SMU −2.5	SMU −3	SMU −2.3	Florida State +2.5 0.2	✕ Loss	−0.5
Texas State at Texas	7–59	Texas −30.5	Texas −29.5	Texas −30.3	Texas State +30.5 0.2	✕ Loss	1.0
UTEP at Oklahoma	0–51	Oklahoma −41.5	Oklahoma −40.5	Oklahoma −41.3	UTEP +41.5 0.2	✕ Loss	1.0
Kent State at South Carolina	0–57	South Carolina −36.5	South Carolina −35.5	South Carolina −36.4	Kent State +36.5 0.1	✕ Loss	1.0
Tulane at Duke	3–17	Duke −9.5	Duke −9.5	Duke −9.5	Tulane +9.5 0.0	✕ Loss	0.0
Central Michigan at New Mexico	7–38	New Mexico −11.5	New Mexico −11.5	New Mexico −11.5	New Mexico −11.5 0.0	✓ Win	−0.0
Florida Atlantic at Florida	21–66	Florida −26.5	Florida −26.5	Florida −26.5	Florida Atlantic +26.5 0.0	✕ Loss	0.0
Boston College at Cincinnati	15–34	Cincinnati −7.5	Cincinnati −7	Cincinnati −7.5	Boston College +7.5 0.0	✕ Loss	0.5

Final shown away–home. Line value = points the line moved toward the pick between Sunday and kickoff.